Options · ADBE
GEX × Max Pain for ADBE
AI-generated plain-English read of gex × max pain for ADBE. Updated daily.
Damper-at-risk regime, tight pin
highThe stock is being pinned around $250.00 — hedging is strong here and both magnets agree. Expect price to stay close to that level until expiration.
What will probably happen
- Short-term: price holds near $250.00 into this week's expiry. Pin behavior is strongest in the last hour Friday.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- Add a hedge near $250.00 — that's the regime-flip line. Below it the structure stops protecting you and starts working against you. A put or stop just under is structurally informed.
- If you TRADE this stock (no options)
- Mean-reversion setup: fade rallies above and dips below $250.00. The pin is strongest into Friday close.
- If you trade OPTIONS
- Theta play: short strangle/iron condor centered on $250.00. Damper + tight pin is the cleanest premium-collection setup.
Clear regime, tight convergence, full term structure (17 expirations).
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Term
- Term structure: max-gamma climbs from $250.00 (front) to $280.00 (longest-dated); max-pain drops from $250.00 to $230.00; the flip point recedes from spot in longer-dated rows (more damper buffer).
- Regime
- Damper regime is in place (positive net GEX of $99.4K), but the flip point at $250.00 is within 0.6% of spot — a small move puts us in the amplifier zone.
- Structure
- Spot $248.48; front-week magnet at $250.00 (max-gamma) and $250.00 (max-pain).
- Convergence
- Front-week max-gamma ($250.00) and max-pain ($250.00) are both inside ±2% of spot and within 1% of each other — two independent magnets agreeing on a tight pin. This is the cleanest pin setup we surface.
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| far pain | 230 |
| far gamma | 280 |
| front pin | 250 |
| regime flip | 250 |
Caveats
- One mid-curve expiration carries >5× the front-week dollar GEX — single-position concentration risk; signal is more vulnerable to unwinds.