Sentiment · ADI
Government Contracts for ADI
AI-generated plain-English read of government contracts for ADI. Updated daily.
Meaningful contracts, stalling
lowAward flow is dropping fast from a meaningful base: likely loss of recompete or budget cut. Investigate the cause before sizing a position that depends on government revenue.
What will probably happen
- Award flow is dropping fast: likely loss of recompete or budget cut. Investigate the cause before sizing.
- Unknown dominates the award base: this issuer's government revenue is tied to the budget priorities of a single customer. Sensitive to agency-level cuts.
- A single contract ($15.15M) represents a major share of recent awards; non-renewal at recompete would create a sharp revenue cliff.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- Decelerating award flow is a warning sign. Tighten your stop or reduce exposure until the deceleration reverses or you identify the cause.
- If you're EVALUATING this stock
- Decelerating government revenue at material scale is a red flag for the earnings model. Identify the source of deceleration before initiating.
- If you trade OPTIONS
- Consider protective puts if government revenue is a meaningful earnings component: a further deceleration could surprise estimates.
Only 2 contract(s) in the trailing 12 months or less than $5M total: read with caution; small sample inflates pace swings.
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Pace
- Stalling
- Top agency
- Unknown
- Revenue scale
- Meaningful
- Last 90d awards
- $0.00
- Prior 90d awards
- $15.15M
- 90d vs 90d change
- -100%
- Trailing-12m total
- $15.15M
- Agency concentration
- Single agency
- Largest single award
- $15.15M
- Contract size profile
- Mega deal
- Trailing-12m contracts
- 2
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| total value | 34,680,034.58 |
| last 90d total | 0 |
| prior 90d total | 15,149,637.54 |
| watch threshold | 15,149,637.54 |
| largest contract | 15,149,637.54 |
| trailing 12m total | 15,150,842.54 |
Caveats
- Federal contract awards are CEILING values, not realized revenue. Period-of-performance can span multiple years.
- One agency (Unknown) dominates revenue: issuer is sensitive to that agency's budget priorities (DoD funding cycles, NASA program changes, etc.).
- A single contract ($15.15M) represents a major share of recent awards; non-renewal at recompete would create a sharp revenue cliff.
- Fewer than 5 contracts in the trailing 12 months: pace metrics are highly sensitive to individual awards and may not reflect an ongoing trend.