Options · CMCSA
GEX × Max Pain for CMCSA
AI-generated plain-English read of gex × max pain for CMCSA. Updated daily.
Damper-at-risk regime, loose alignment
moderateDamper regime around $24.85 — moves get absorbed. Magnets are loose, so direction isn't clear; expect chop without a strong external trigger.
What will probably happen
- Short-term: dampers absorb moves. Expect range-bound trading until something meaningful breaks the structure.
- Longer-dated OI is positioned for settlement at $20.00 (-20% from here) — gravitational pull down over weeks-to-months.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- Add a hedge near $25.00 — that's the regime-flip line. Below it the structure stops protecting you and starts working against you. A put or stop just under is structurally informed.
- If you TRADE this stock (no options)
- No clean directional setup from the structure. Wait for an external trigger (earnings, sector flow, news) before sizing.
- If you trade OPTIONS
- No edge from the structure alone — premium is fairly priced for the regime. Wait for tighter convergence or a clearer directional setup.
magnets agree on direction but spread is wide; 1 data-quality caveat(s)
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Term
- Term structure: max-gamma climbs from $25.00 (front) to $30.00 (longest-dated); max-pain drops from $22.00 to $20.00; the flip point recedes from spot in longer-dated rows (more damper buffer).
- Regime
- Damper regime is in place (positive net GEX of $137.5K), but the flip point at $25.00 is within 0.6% of spot — a small move puts us in the amplifier zone.
- Structure
- Spot $24.85; front-week magnet at $25.00 (max-gamma) and $22.00 (max-pain).
- Convergence
- Same-side bias but loose: max-gamma at $25.00, max-pain at $22.00. The magnets agree on direction but disagree on magnitude — directional conviction is weaker than a tight convergence.
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| far pain | 20 |
| far gamma | 30 |
| front pin | 25 |
| regime flip | 25 |
Caveats
- One mid-curve expiration carries >5× the front-week dollar GEX — single-position concentration risk; signal is more vulnerable to unwinds.