Fundamentals · GLD
Distress (Altman-Z + Piotroski-F) for GLD
AI-generated plain-English read of distress (altman-z + piotroski-f) for GLD. Updated daily.
Distress confirmed, improving
highBoth scores flag stress: the bankruptcy risk score sits at Z=1.19 (distress zone <1.81) and improving within the distress zone while the operational health score is weak at 3/9; bankruptcy risk is real, not just a slow-revenue scare.
What will probably happen
- High probability of continued financial stress: both scores independently confirm the same read.
- Trend is improving despite distress: management may be executing a turnaround, but Z must cross 1.81 before the thesis is confirmed.
- Credit markets will price this company as a distressed issuer: borrowing costs are elevated and refinancing risk is real.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- Trim or hedge: both scores confirm operational and solvency stress. If you hold, size down to a level you can stomach going to zero.
- If you are EVALUATING this stock
- Don't initiate new positions: distress zone means asymmetric downside with limited upside until a clear turnaround is confirmed (Z > 1.81 for two consecutive quarters).
- If you trade OPTIONS
- Put premium will be expensive given the distress read: selling puts only makes sense if you would genuinely own the stock at the strike and can absorb full downside. At distress-zone sizes, avoid selling puts.
Both scores present with ≥3 periods of bankruptcy risk history.
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Bankruptcy risk score (Altman-Z)
- 1.19 (distress zone)
- Prior-period avg Z
- 0.28
- Operational health score (Piotroski-F)
- 3/9 (Weak (0-3)): profitability 1/4; leverage 2/3; efficiency 0/2
- Sector
- Metals & Mining
- Trend
- improving
- Agreement
- both_distress
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| latest z | 1.19 |
| prior avg z | 0.279 |
| altman distress threshold | 1.81 |
| altman safe threshold | 2.99 |
| piotroski score | 3 |