Options · JNJ
GEX × Max Pain for JNJ
AI-generated plain-English read of gex × max pain for JNJ. Updated daily.
Damper regime, split divergence
highExpect chop between $140.00 and $315.00 — two magnets pulling in opposite directions, and the damper regime keeps moves contained.
What will probably happen
- Short-term: expect oscillation between $140.00 and $315.00. No directional commitment without an external catalyst.
- Longer-dated OI is positioned for settlement at $185.00 (-33% from here) — gravitational pull down over weeks-to-months.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- No structural action needed. Dampers are protecting you this week.
- If you TRADE this stock (no options)
- Range-trade between $140.00 and $315.00. Both edges are defended; breakouts on no news will fail.
- If you trade OPTIONS
- Iron condor wide enough to bracket $140.00–$315.00. Damper absorbs noise inside the band; theta prints without a directional bet.
Clear regime, tight convergence, full term structure (16 expirations).
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Term
- Term structure: max-gamma falls from $315.00 (front) to $185.00 (longest-dated); max-pain rises from $140.00 to $185.00.
- Regime
- Net GEX is positive ($296.24) and the per-strike GEX never flips sign — dealers are net long gamma across the chain, hedging activity DAMPENS moves throughout the listed strike range.
- Structure
- Spot $276.22; front-week magnet at $315.00 (max-gamma) and $140.00 (max-pain).
- Convergence
- Split: max-gamma ($315.00) sits above spot while max-pain ($140.00) sits below. Hedging and OI math are pulling in OPPOSITE directions — expect chop in the band between them rather than a clean directional move.
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| far pain | 185 |
| far gamma | 185 |
Caveats
- One mid-curve expiration carries >5× the front-week dollar GEX — single-position concentration risk; signal is more vulnerable to unwinds.
- Net GEX rounds to near-zero — likely thin chain or stale/noisy IVs; lean on the max-pain signal over the GEX signal.