Options · MDLZ
GEX × Max Pain for MDLZ
AI-generated plain-English read of gex × max pain for MDLZ. Updated daily.
Amplifier regime, loose alignment
moderateAmplifier regime around $67.38 — moves get accelerated. Watch for any trigger; the structure won't dampen it.
What will probably happen
- Short-term: moves get amplified. Expect bigger swings than the news warrants.
- Longer-dated OI is positioned for settlement at $42.50 (-37% from here) — gravitational pull down over weeks-to-months.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- Amplifier regime — drops will be sharper than the news warrants. Consider a small protective put if you're sensitive to drawdowns.
- If you TRADE this stock (no options)
- No clean directional setup from the structure. Wait for an external trigger (earnings, sector flow, news) before sizing.
- If you trade OPTIONS
- No edge from the structure alone — premium is fairly priced for the regime. Wait for tighter convergence or a clearer directional setup.
magnets agree on direction but spread is wide; 1 data-quality caveat(s)
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Term
- Term structure: max-gamma climbs from $64.00 (front) to $75.00 (longest-dated); max-pain drops from $66.00 to $42.50.
- Regime
- Net GEX is negative ($-1.2K) and the per-strike GEX never flips sign — dealers are net short gamma across the entire chain, hedging AMPLIFIES moves with no zero-crossing buffer.
- Structure
- Spot $67.38; front-week magnet at $64.00 (max-gamma) and $66.00 (max-pain).
- Convergence
- Same-side bias but loose: max-gamma at $64.00, max-pain at $66.00. The magnets agree on direction but disagree on magnitude — directional conviction is weaker than a tight convergence.
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| far pain | 42.5 |
| far gamma | 75 |
| regime flip | 68 |
Caveats
- One mid-curve expiration carries >5× the front-week dollar GEX — single-position concentration risk; signal is more vulnerable to unwinds.