Options · META
GEX × Max Pain for META
AI-generated plain-English read of gex × max pain for META. Updated daily.
Damper regime, loose alignment
moderateDamper regime around $622.72 — moves get absorbed. Magnets are loose, so direction isn't clear; expect chop without a strong external trigger.
What will probably happen
- Short-term: dampers absorb moves. Expect range-bound trading until something meaningful breaks the structure.
- Medium-term: the protective buffer shrinks over the next few weeks — what's absorbed today could break the dampers a month out.
- Longer-dated OI is positioned for settlement at $560.00 (-10% from here) — gravitational pull down over weeks-to-months.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- You're protected this week, but the buffer shrinks. Set a price alert at $515.00 — that's where protection runs out.
- If you TRADE this stock (no options)
- No clean directional setup from the structure. Wait for an external trigger (earnings, sector flow, news) before sizing.
- If you trade OPTIONS
- No edge from the structure alone — premium is fairly priced for the regime. Wait for tighter convergence or a clearer directional setup.
magnets agree on direction but spread is wide; 1 data-quality caveat(s)
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Term
- Term structure: max-gamma climbs from $625.00 (front) to $700.00 (longest-dated); max-pain drops from $617.50 to $560.00; the flip point creeps closer to spot in longer-dated rows (less damper buffer).
- Regime
- Net GEX is positive ($27.94M) and spot sits comfortably above the flip point at $515.00 — dealers are net long gamma, hedging activity DAMPENS moves.
- Structure
- Spot $622.72; front-week magnet at $625.00 (max-gamma) and $617.50 (max-pain).
- Convergence
- Same-side bias but loose: max-gamma at $625.00, max-pain at $617.50. The magnets agree on direction but disagree on magnitude — directional conviction is weaker than a tight convergence.
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| far pain | 560 |
| far gamma | 700 |
| front pin | 625 |
| regime flip | 515 |
Caveats
- One mid-curve expiration carries >5× the front-week dollar GEX — single-position concentration risk; signal is more vulnerable to unwinds.