Chart & Technical · TGT
Strategy Cup Tier for TGT
AI-generated plain-English read of strategy cup tier for TGT. Updated daily.
Broken — below buy-and-hold
lowThis strategy isn't beating buy-and-hold on the validation window (an unknown margin). The signal is uninformative for this ticker — cup_0 means the strategy lost ground relative to simply holding the stock.
What will probably happen
- The strategy is not generating meaningful alpha above buy-and-hold on this ticker. Signals are likely noise.
- Walk-forward stability is low — the edge broke down on rolling out-of-sample periods. Parameters that looked good in-sample may not generalise.
- 10-29 trades — the sample is thin. Percentile statistics are noisy and overfit risk is elevated.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock and follow this strategy
- This strategy is not outperforming buy-and-hold on this ticker. If you're following its signals, consider switching to a higher-tier strategy or buy-and-hold.
- If you're EVALUATING whether to use this strategy
- Skip this strategy. It isn't demonstrating alpha above buy-and-hold on this ticker — no allocation is warranted.
- If you trade OPTIONS on this strategy's signals
- Do not use this strategy's signals for options positioning. The strategy has no demonstrated edge above buy-and-hold.
Weak credibility profile — walk-forward stability is low.
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Cup tier
- cup_0 (broken)
- Robustness
- Fragile
- Tier grade
- Broken
- Trade count
- 24
- MC significant
- No
- Sample quality
- Small Sample
- Validation window
- —
- Statistical support
- Borderline
- Deflated Sharpe Ratio (DSR)
- 0.516
- Delta return vs buy-and-hold
- —
- Walk-forward stability score
- 0.00
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| dsr | 0.516 |
| cup tier | 0 |
| num trades | 24 |
| robustness score | 0 |
Caveats
- Cup tiers reflect val-window performance. Live forward returns may differ from backtest — even validated strategies have drawdown risk.