Fundamentals · UVXY
Distress (Altman-Z + Piotroski-F) for UVXY
AI-generated plain-English read of distress (altman-z + piotroski-f) for UVXY. Updated daily.
Distress confirmed, deteriorating
highBoth scores flag stress: the bankruptcy risk score sits at Z=1.15 (distress zone <1.81) and deteriorating within the distress zone while the operational health score is weak at 3/9 — bankruptcy risk is real, not just a slow-revenue scare.
What will probably happen
- High probability of continued financial stress — both scores independently confirm the same read.
- Trend is deteriorating: without a capital raise or asset sale, the next earnings cycle is likely to worsen the picture.
- Credit markets will price this company as a distressed issuer — borrowing costs are elevated and refinancing risk is real.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- Trim or hedge — both scores confirm operational and solvency stress. If you hold, size down to a level you can stomach going to zero.
- If you are EVALUATING this stock
- Don't initiate new positions — distress zone means asymmetric downside with limited upside until a clear turnaround is confirmed (Z > 1.81 for two consecutive quarters).
- If you trade OPTIONS
- Put premium will be expensive given the distress read — selling puts only makes sense if you would genuinely own the stock at the strike and can absorb full downside. At distress-zone sizes, avoid selling puts.
Both scores present with ≥3 periods of bankruptcy risk history.
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Bankruptcy risk score (Altman-Z)
- 1.15 (distress zone)
- Prior-period avg Z
- 1.34
- Operational health score (Piotroski-F)
- 3/9 (Weak (0-3)) — profitability 1/4; leverage 1/3; efficiency 1/2
- Sector
- Thematic
- Trend
- deteriorating
- Agreement
- both_distress
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| latest z | 1.15 |
| prior avg z | 1.343 |
| altman distress threshold | 1.81 |
| altman safe threshold | 2.99 |
| piotroski score | 3 |