Options · UVXY
GEX × Max Pain for UVXY
AI-generated plain-English read of gex × max pain for UVXY. Updated daily.
Damper regime, upside agreement
highSoft drift higher likely: both magnets sit above $16.75, but the damper regime absorbs sharp moves so expect drift, not breakout.
What will probably happen
- Short-term: dampers absorb moves. Expect range-bound trading until something meaningful breaks the structure.
- Longer-dated OI is positioned for settlement at $6.00 (-64% from here): gravitational pull down over weeks-to-months.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- No structural action needed. Dampers are protecting you this week.
- If you TRADE this stock (no options)
- No clean directional setup from the structure. Wait for an external trigger (earnings, sector flow, news) before sizing.
- If you trade OPTIONS
- No edge from the structure alone: premium is fairly priced for the regime. Wait for tighter convergence or a clearer directional setup.
Clear regime, tight convergence, full term structure (13 expirations).
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Structure
- Spot $16.75; front-week magnet at $17.50 (max-gamma) and $17.50 (max-pain).
- Regime
- Net GEX is positive ($549.7K) and spot sits comfortably above the flip point at $12.00: dealers are net long gamma, hedging activity DAMPENS moves.
- Convergence
- Both magnets sit above spot and agree on direction: max-gamma at $17.50, max-pain at $17.50. Hedging and OI math both pull upward.
- Term
- Term structure: max-gamma climbs from $17.50 (front) to $35.00 (longest-dated); max-pain drops from $17.50 to $6.00; the flip point recedes from spot in longer-dated rows (more damper buffer).
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| regime flip | 20 |
| far pain | 6 |
| far gamma | 35 |