Chart & Technical · ZTS

Risk Snapshot for ZTS

AI-generated plain-English read of risk snapshot for ZTS. Updated daily.

Elevated vol with sharp drawdown: high risk

high

Elevated volatility paired with a sharp drawdown (30-50%): a high-risk combination. The stock can lose a third to half its value in a bad cycle. Only appropriate for risk-tolerant portfolios with a clear catalyst thesis.

What will probably happen

  • Above-average volatility: expect more frequent and larger daily moves than the S&P 500. Risk management should be active, not passive.
  • Fat-tail risk detected: the return distribution has heavier-than-normal tails. Losses beyond 2 or 3 standard deviations occur more often than a normal model predicts. Size accordingly and avoid maximum leverage.

What to do

If you HOLD this stock
Elevated-risk profile: reduce position to a size you can hold through further drawdown without forced selling. Set a stop or hedge level before adding.
If you're EVALUATING this stock
If entering, size smaller than usual: the volatility regime demands wider stops and more margin of safety on the thesis.
If you trade OPTIONS
Elevated vol inflates option premium: favor selling premium (covered calls, cash-secured puts on dips) over buying it. Long vol plays are expensive relative to realized vol history.

All four key fields (volatility, max drawdown, beta, skewness) are populated.

Technical details

Technical analysis

Kurtosis
27.58
Skewness
-2.83
Tail risk
Fat Tails
Vol regime
Elevated Vol
Beta profile
Index Like
Sharpe ratio
--
Drawdown tier
Sharp
Sortino ratio
--
Beta vs S&P 500
0.61
Recovery status
Mid Drawdown
VaR 95% (daily)
-3.3%
VaR 99% (daily)
-6.7%
Current drawdown
-36.1%
Max drawdown (1y)
-47.3%
Downside deviation
--
Annualized volatility
38.1%

Key levels

Key price and metric levels
LevelValue
kurtosis27.583
skewness-2.826
var 95 daily-0.033
var 99 daily-0.067
beta vs market0.611
max drawdown 1y-0.473
current drawdown-0.361
annualized volatility0.381

Caveats

  • Risk metrics are historical; tail events outside the lookback window can dwarf observed risk.
  • Fat-tail readings warn of bigger-than-normal-distribution moves; size accordingly.

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