borrow rate spike
Mechanism
When the cost to borrow a stock spikes, it
Signal rule
z-score of cost-to-borrow over trailing 60d; short the top decile
Data dependencies
borrow_fees (IBKR)Worker data table — see services/worker schema.
short_interestBi-weekly NYSE/NASDAQ short-interest reports with days-to-cover.
Expected edge
~10% ann. on shorting expensive-to-borrow (Engelberg-Reed-Ringgenberg 2018)
Illustrative pattern only
NOT a backtestIllustrative pattern only — see /app for live backtests and the actual current equity curve.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
short interest changeShort-FlowTwo complementary readings of FINRA's daily short-sale
ftd threshold listShort-FlowThe SEC's Threshold Security List names securities that have had 5+ consecutive settlement days with failures-to-deliver (FTDs) ≥ 10,000 shares AND ≥ 0.5% of shares outstanding. Inclusion on the
borrow ftd squeezeShort-FlowBeschwitz, Honkanen & Schmidt (2024) *Journal of Financial Economics*: "Costly Arbitrage and the Short-Squeeze Premium." Novel finding: when all three short-side stress signals fire simultaneously — top-decile borrow-rate Δ, Reg-SHO threshold inclusion, and elevated FINRA short-volume ratio — the next 5 trading days mean-revert sharply higher. The 3-table confluence is what…
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