Each strategy is built on a documented economic reason a price should move, a clear rule for when to act, and the data it reads. Every one is graded the same way before it is allowed to influence what you see.
Every strategy we run, and the reason it should work.
135 strategies, grouped into 6 families by the kind of signal they read. Each one is tied to published research or a documented market effect. Open any strategy to see what it looks for, the idea behind it, and the data it uses.
vrp blended with term structure
Combine how overpriced a stock's options are with the shape of its volatility curve, buying when insurance is rich and the curve is healthy after a dip.
How it works →Six families of strategies
Triggered by what a company does: earnings surprises, guidance changes, product news, mergers and other corporate events.
Read from the wider world: interest rates, inflation, the Fed, government action and geopolitics that move whole markets.
What the paperwork and the people closest to a company reveal: regulatory filings, insider buying and selling, short interest and who owns the stock.
Signals from outside the market: weather, shipping, crops, consumer demand, web attention and other physical-world measurements.
Read straight from price, volume and volatility, including how a stock trades against the market and its peers.
Strategies that blend several of the others into one signal and switch between them as market conditions change.
How recent is the research?
The oldest idea here dates to 1973, the newest to 2026. 44% are based on work published since 2015, so this is not just textbook history.
Company Events & Earnings
2 strategiesTriggered by what a company does: earnings surprises, guidance changes, product news, mergers and other corporate events.
Observed MAUDE disclosed-group reporting stress
Test whether an observed change in a disclosed subsidiary reporting cohort precedes stock weakness.
Transcript Numerical Specificity Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Economy & Policy
42 strategiesRead from the wider world: interest rates, inflation, the Fed, government action and geopolitics that move whole markets.
Baa Aaa Quality Spread Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Calendar Anomalies
Three calendar quirks: turn-of-month (last/first days outperform), pre-FOMC drift, and day-of-week (Mon weak, Wed-Thu strong).
Credit Spread Shock Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Dollar Factor Betas Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Drawdown-Recovery Premium
Buys stocks that crashed hard over the past year, but only after the price climbs back above its 60-day average (a recovery filter). The cited paper actually finds that crashed, high-tail-risk stocks tend to KEEP underperforming, so the recovery conditioning,…
Eurodollar Bank Predictor Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Financial Conditions Regime Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Gdelt Event Density Volatility Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Gdelt Event Tone Country Exposure Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Gdelt Geopolitical Tone Short Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Gpr Geopolitical Risk Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Gpr Oil Long Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Gpr Sector Defense Long Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Gpr Threats Acts Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Inflation Beta Rotation Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Liquidity Composite Short Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Macro Regime Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Market-relative strength
Trade a stock when its strength relative to SPY reaches its own historical extremes.
Monthly peer low volatility
Compare a stock’s multi-year monthly volatility with other stocks in that month’s universe, then test trading the lowest-risk or highest-risk tail.
Mortgage 30y Housing Short Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Multinational Usd Translation Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Observed beta-window stability
Test low stable beta on a rising trend and high unstable beta on a weak trend, using observed stock and market prices.
Oil Energy Sector Rotation Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Published FOMC daily windows
Trade the daily window around scheduled Fed meetings using the schedule published by that date.
Published FOMC duration windows
Trade the daily window around scheduled Fed meetings using the schedule published by that date.
Published US VIX versus international ETF realized variance
Published US VIX versus international ETF realized variance
Regime Overlay
Only go long if the broad market (SPY) is above its 200-day average AND VIX is calm. Otherwise stand aside — don't fight a falling tape.
Return-Skew Premium
Stocks with fat downside tails (negative realized skew) trade at a discount and earn a premium; right-skew 'lottery' stocks underperform.
Swap Spread Z Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Ted Funding Stress Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Term Structure Curvature Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Terror Consumer Discretionary Short Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Terror Defense Premium Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Terror Event Airline Drift Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Terror Real Estate Msa Short Pit
Inactive geopolitical-event research using release- or capture-timed events and effective-dated baskets. Legacy bulk history is not promotion-grade evidence.
Usd Factor Betas Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
VIX Spike Recovery Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
VIX Spot Near Curve Pit
Use matching published spot-volatility index closes to form an equity or volatility-product regime.
VIX Term Structure Pit
Use matching published spot-volatility index closes to form an equity or volatility-product regime.
Vrp VIX Term Pit
Use matching published spot-volatility index closes to form an equity or volatility-product regime.
Yen Carry Trade Unwind Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Yield Curve Sector Rotation Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Filings, Insiders & Ownership
13 strategiesWhat the paperwork and the people closest to a company reveal: regulatory filings, insider buying and selling, short interest and who owns the stock.
Complete 13D purpose keyword drift
Follow published ownership filings whose complete purpose text contains the original keywords.
Earnings Call Word Count Anomaly Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Executive Pronoun Shift Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Published ETF holdings addition
Published ETF holdings addition
Published hedge-fund ownership drift
Follow authenticated published ownership filings by a classified hedge fund.
Published short-pressure long rule
Published short-pressure long rule
Transcript AI Exposure Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Transcript Climate Risk Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Transcript Exec Uncertainty Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Transcript Political Risk Hhvt Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Transcript Qa Combativeness Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Transcript Qa Evasion Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Transcript Tone Drift Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Real-World & Alternative Data
9 strategiesSignals from outside the market: weather, shipping, crops, consumer demand, web attention and other physical-world measurements.
Bitcoin Treasury Proxies
MSTR/miners track BTC momentum with leverage.
Copper Steel Ratio Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Cross-sectional calendar-month seasonality
Compare a stock’s performance in the same month of past years with its peers at those times. Once a month, use that history to rank today’s eligible stocks and trade the highest or lowest group.
Crude Brent Spread Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
Crypto Volatility Equity Volatility Spillover
An in-house guess (no research behind it): after Bitcoin has a short, sharp jump in volatility, we bet that risk-loving money flows back into tech ETFs like QQQ for a few days. This is an untested idea, not something proven by an academic paper.
Dr Copper Industrial Leader Alfred Pit
Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.
healthy volume pattern
When a stock suddenly trades much more heavily than usual, more investors notice it and the price tends to rise over the next few weeks.
Nominal round-number close reconstruction
Test whether a stock approaching a round dollar price from one direction reverses during the next few sessions.
Refiner response to relative UGA/USO ETF prices
Refiner response to relative UGA/USO ETF prices
Price & Market Behavior
63 strategiesRead straight from price, volume and volatility, including how a stock trades against the market and its peers.
252-session high anchor
Test whether stocks near a recent high continue rising, deeply fallen stocks bounce after an uptick, or stocks breaking a recent high continue falling.
Adjusted high-low spread trend
Test a price trend confirmed by an unusually wide estimated spread, accounting for overnight gaps and ordinary execution costs.
afternoon drift
When a stock pushes hard in the afternoon (when the big institutions trade), it tends to keep moving the same way the next day.
ATR breakout
Trade large channel breakouts relative to recent volatility. Exit at the opposite10-session extreme; decisions execute at the following open.
Betting Against Beta
Low-beta stocks (calmer than the market) tend to deliver better risk-adjusted returns than high-beta ones; this family overweights when beta drops.
Betting Against Correlation
Asness, Frazzini, Gormsen & Pedersen (2020): the low-risk effect is driven by the correlation leg of beta; a BAC portfolio (long low market-correlation, short high-correlation, volatility-matched) earns a premium distinct from idio-vol/lott
Breakout Proximity
Flags stocks trading very close to their 52-week high — the closer to the high, the more likely they keep grinding higher.
Breakout Volume
A 20-day high breakout is taken only when volume is unusually large and true-range is expanding — confirming it's a real move, not a head-fake.
Cash-aware overnight trend
Test whether unusually strong or weak cash-adjusted overnight returns, confirmed by price trend, continue into future trading sessions.
close strength drift
A stock that finishes the day strong (rising into the bell and above its average price) tends to keep rising the next day.
closing-auction imbalance drift
A big rush of buying or selling right into the closing bell tends to keep pushing the price the same way the next day.
composite options pressure
Roll IV flow, term structure, and skew into a single bullish/bearish pressure gauge and trade it only when the stock's price is moving the same way.
Coskewness proxy rank
Trade a stock when its market co-movement proxy reaches its own historical extremes.
Cross Sectional Momentum
Compare the stock to its sector peers on 12-month return (excluding last month). If it's in the top third of peers, go long.
cross-sectional options stress contrarian
Compare a stock's option fear gauge to every other optionable stock today, and buy the most fearful after a dip or fade the most complacent after a rally.
Daily covariance bounce trend
Test a rising price trend confirmed by an unusually large serial-bounce price statistic, with ordinary execution and cash accounting.
Dated sector-reference trend
Go long when the sector ETF known on that date has risen over the chosen lookback.
dealer-gamma adaptive regime overlay
When options dealers are positioned to calm the stock down, bet recent moves reverse; when they are positioned to amplify, bet recent moves keep going.
factor-neutral idiosyncratic residual
Filter out the parts of a stock's move driven by the market and big macro themes, then trade only on what is left that is unique to that company.
Frog In Pan Momentum
A series of small same-signed daily moves (continuous info) creates stronger momentum drift than the same total return delivered as a few big jumps.
implied volatility rank mean reversion
When fear in the options market is at a one-year high the stock tends to bounce back, and when it is unusually calm the stock tends to slip.
intraday volatility-spike reversal
On days when a stock's price swings unusually hard intraday, the move tends to be an overreaction that partly reverses the next day.
iv-flow confirmed momentum
Ride a stock's trend only when option buyers are leaning the same way: calls getting pricier into an uptrend, puts getting pricier into a downtrend.
Liquidity Provision Premium
Stocks falling sharply bounce — bounce is bigger when VIX is high.
low-turnover factor-neutral residual momentum
The same trade-on-the-stock's-unique-move idea, but holding positions for months so trading costs don't eat the profit.
Market Closure Reversal
After a long weekend or market holiday, sharp moves often snap back harder than usual. This family tests that closure-conditioned reversal.
Monthly cross-sectional 52-week high
Once a month, compare how close each eligible stock is to its yearly high. Trade the strongest or weakest group, spreading each new monthly signal across its holding period.
Monthly cross-sectional MAX
Once a month, compare each stock’s largest daily gains with those of other eligible stocks. The lowest-ranked stocks can enter long positions; the highest-ranked stocks can enter short positions. Each decision lasts until the next month-end update.
Multi Horizon Trend
Looks at the stock's trend over several lookbacks (weeks, months, quarters). When most lookbacks agree the trend is up, go long; when most disagree, stand aside.
opening range breakout
When a stock swings widely right at the open and then finishes the day up (or down), it tends to keep going that way the next day.
overnight gap fade
When a stock opens with a big jump or drop versus the previous close, that move usually gets partly given back, so you bet on the reversal.
Payment Cycle Reversal
Tests whether a stock-specific move around month-end and the first sessions of a new month reverses after recurring payment flows subside.
Published FINRA flow continuation and reversion
Test short-volume continuation on a weak price trend and a separate reversion long rule, using only data published by the decision close.
Published Form D equity-sale short rule
Published Form D equity-sale short rule
Published SEC FTD and observed borrow fee spike
Published SEC FTD and observed borrow fee spike
Published SEC FTD and Reg SHO concentration
Published SEC FTD and Reg SHO concentration
Published SEC FTD balance pressure
Published SEC FTD balance pressure
Published SEC FTD settlement persistence
Published SEC FTD settlement persistence
Published SEC outstanding FTD anomaly
Published SEC outstanding FTD anomaly
Range Regime Meanrev
Buys oversold dips and sells overbought pops, but only when the stock is in a sideways / range-bound phase (low ADX).
Reported 25-delta put-call IV spread
Reported 25-delta put-call IV spread
Reported 25-delta variance asymmetry
Reported 25-delta variance asymmetry
Reported near/far 25-delta skew term
Reported near/far 25-delta skew term
Reported near/far option term slope
Reported near/far option term slope
Reported option IV innovation
Reported option IV innovation
Reported same-expiry wing curvature
Reported same-expiry wing curvature
SEC share issuance with reconstructed splits
After a company publishes its original SEC share count, compare it with the prior-year original filing. Use fully captured split history to correct the count, then test the sign at the next market open.
Sector Rs Leader Follower
Stocks in sectors with the strongest relative strength versus the S&P 500 tend to outperform those in the weakest sectors over the next 1-3 months.
Short Term Reversal
Stocks that fell sharply over the last few days tend to bounce; stocks that ripped tend to fade. A 1-week mean-reversion bet.
Short-history intraday observer
A frequency-native observer for newly listed securities that have enough intraday evidence but not enough genuine daily history. It never converts intraday bars into fake daily years.
skew-panic reversal
When put options spike in price and fear is high right after a drop, buy the bounce; when calls are euphoric after a run-up, fade it.
term-slope trend confirmation
Follow a stock's trend only when the shape of its implied-volatility curve agrees the move should keep going.
Time-Series Momentum
If a stock has gone up over the last year, bet it keeps going up; if down, bet it keeps going down. Scales the bet smaller when the stock is jumpy.
TNIC Peer Guidance Spillover Lineaged Pit
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
Variance Risk Premium Long Pit
Use matching published spot-volatility index closes to form an equity or volatility-product regime.
VIX Contango Regime Long Pit
Use matching published spot-volatility index closes to form an equity or volatility-product regime.
Volatility-timed moving average
Hold the stock when its shorter moving average is above its longer average and volatility matches the selected low or high regime. Otherwise hold cash. Decisions use completed sessions and trade at the following open.
volume dispersion reversal
When volume looks relatively uninformed and a stock makes an extreme move, the move is more likely to snap back. High-dispersion, informed-looking volume is not faded.
volume shock reversal
When a stock trades on unusually heavy volume, the day's move is often just liquidity noise that gets reversed the next day.
vrp blended with term structure
Combine how overpriced a stock's options are with the shape of its volatility curve, buying when insurance is rich and the curve is healthy after a dip.
vrp confirmed by price action
When options are pricing in far more volatility than the stock has actually shown and it has already sold off, buy the rebound; fade the reverse after a run-up.
vwap reversion
When a stock closes far away from its average traded price for the day, it tends to drift back toward that average.
Weekly Reversal
After a stock has a particularly bad or good 5-day stretch (vs its own history), the move tends to partially reverse over the next 1-2 weeks. Buy the steepest 5-day losers; short the biggest 5-day winners.
Combined Strategies
6 strategiesStrategies that blend several of the others into one signal and switch between them as market conditions change.
Auto-Weighted Blend
Per-ticker automatically learned blend weights with out-of-sample gating. Instead of equal-weighting the top-3 strategies, an optimizer searches over how many to blend, which to pick, how much weight to give each, what regime to fire in, and when to kill the…
Best-Strategy Overlay
Take the user's best historical strategy for this ticker, then stack additional regime filters (VIX, sector trend, short flow) on top to clean up its bad bars.
Combo Bab X Low Volatility
Two independent ways to measure the leverage-constraint anomaly (low beta and low vol) - combining them is 21% sharper than either alone.
Equal-Weight Consensus
Instead of trying to optimize weights across sub-signals (which overfits), just equal-weight K canonical price signals. Hard to beat out-of-sample.
Liquidity and dated industry interaction
Combine a stock’s liquidity rank with its historical sector and market dispersion.
Liquidity and drawdown interaction
Combine a stock’s own liquidity rank with recovery from past drawdowns.
Want to see them score a real ticker?
Every family above runs nightly against the full universe. Open a stock page and the ones currently firing will sit at the top of the conviction stack.