Text-NLP#55tier 1live in production
transcript guidance shift
cadence: Dailydata: mediumlong onlyshort onlylong short
Mechanism
Bowen-Davis-Matsumoto 2002, Demers-Vega 2010: keyword markers of guidance direction predict drift. We count occurrences of direction-specific phrases per call and z-score within own
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
earnings_call_transcriptsFull earnings-call transcripts (prepared + Q&A), tokenised.
Expected edge
See referenced paper for original effect size; modern out-of-sample replication may be weaker.
Illustrative pattern only
NOT a backtestIllustrative pattern only — see /app for live backtests and the actual current equity curve.
Explore transcript guidance shift on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.