Event#47tier 1live in production
m and a arb
cadence: Dailydata: mediumlong only
Mechanism
When a ticker files an 8-K with Item 1.01 (Entry into Material Definitive Agreement) or Item 2.01 (Completion of Acquisition or Disposition), the stock often experiences directional drift over 1-3 months as the deal plays out or the market
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
sec_8k_eventsItem-coded 8-K events (1.01 material agreements, 4.02 non-reliance, etc.).
Expected edge
See referenced paper for original effect size; modern out-of-sample replication may be weaker.
Illustrative pattern only
NOT a backtestIllustrative pattern only — see /app for live backtests and the actual current equity curve.
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