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Champion Disagreement Filter

Updated dailyData needs: mediumlong onlyshort onlylong short
JF
2025
Journal of Finance
Bryzgalova, Pelger & Zhu (2025) *Journal of Finance*: "Forest Through the
Citation only, paper link pending.

In plain terms

We have dozens of in-house champion strategies per ticker. When they all disagree on direction, that disagreement itself flags regime uncertainty — fade extremes.

How it works

Bryzgalova, Pelger & Zhu (2025) Journal of Finance "Forest Through the Trees" — when an ensemble of model-derived signals disagrees on direction for the same asset, the disagreement itself is informative. High disagreement flags high regime-uncertainty rows where position size should be reduced or extremes faded. We compute per-ticker sign of every production champion's most recent backtested position, count sign-flips, and use that disagreement count as a long-side mean-reversion signal.

Live results

0 times picked on its own · 185 times inside a blend (183 beat the stock) · updated 2026-07-06
This strategy is a frequent ingredient in blends that combine a few strategies on one stock. It has contributed to 185 such blended picks (183 of which beat simply holding the stock). Picking it on its own is only one of the ways it shows up.
How its picks scored vs. buy & hold
Each pick is graded on a recent year it was never tuned on, against simply owning the same stock
Where its edge concentrates
Share of picks in each company-size group that beat buy & hold
How often it trades
Active vs. patient. Bars on the left mean it waits for rare setups; bars on the right mean it trades often
Return vs. buy & hold
How much each pick beat or trailed simply owning the stock over the test year (extreme microcap moves trimmed)
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Data dependencies

  • Daily prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

  • User strategies

    A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.

Expected edge

show disagreement spikes mark the inflection point of consensus reversal — fading into the disagreement earns ~20-30% Sharpe lift as an overlay on the base book).

Explore Champion Disagreement Filter on alphactor.ai

See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more