sloan accruals
Mechanism
Earnings persistence is much lower in firms with high accruals. Going long low-accrual and short high-accrual delivers ~10% annualized over 1962-1991 (Sloan 1996, Accounting Review). Richardson-Sloan-Soliman- Tuna (2005, JAE) refined the measure to a broader balance-sheet
Signal rule
balance-sheet accruals z; long low (cash-heavy), short high (accrual-heavy)
Data dependencies
fundamentals_quarterlyQuarterly fundamentals (income, balance, cash-flow) from FMP + SEC.
Expected edge
~10% ann. long-short in Sloan 1996; 4-6% post-publication
Illustrative pattern only
NOT a backtestIllustrative pattern only — see /app for live backtests and the actual current equity curve.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
cash operating profitabilityAccountingDistinct from QMJ's "profitability" leg: cash-based operating profit (operating income + depreciation − ΔAR − ΔInventory + ΔAP) / book equity is a stronger single-name predictor than Novy-Marx's gross profitability or GAAP operating
buyback driftAccountingCompanies announcing open-market share repurchases earn ~3-4% abnormal return over the subsequent 12 months. Effect is strongest in "value-distressed" announcers (book-to-market in the top quartile, recent price
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