Transcript Qa Combativeness
In plain terms
Analysts asking longer questions paired with shorter manager answers signals skepticism — predicts near-term underperformance.
How it works
Hollander-Pronk-Roelofsen 2010 + Matsumoto-Pronk-Roelofsen 2011: longer analyst questions + lower management answer/question word-count ratios signal skepticism and predict near-term underperformance. Two per-call features: avg_analyst_q_len (tokens per analyst turn) and mgmt_response_ratio (CEO/CFO tokens / analyst tokens). z-score within own history; SHORT when current call's combativeness z > 1.0 (84th percentile). Long leg disabled because positive responses are noisy (good news makes execs talkative).
Data dependencies
- Daily prices
Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
- Earnings call transcripts
Full earnings-call transcripts (prepared + Q&A), tokenised.
Expected edge
See the source research for the original effect size; a modern replication on new data may be weaker.
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