box office genre x distributor
What it checks
When a distributor's slate is heavily one-genre AND that genre is in a market-wide uptrend, the distributor outperforms.
Mechanism
Distributors skew toward specific genres (Disney → animation, Sony → horror via Screen Gems). When a distributor's recent slate concentrates >=50% in a single genre AND that genre's market-wide 12w/52w momentum is rising (ratio >= 1.2), the distributor outperforms. Genre keyword-classified from title text (no genre column in source).
Signal rule
distributor trailing-90d genre share >= 0.5 AND that genre's market 12w/52w ratio >= 1.2 → LONG distributor; hold 10/20d.
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
box_office_dailyWorker data table — see services/worker schema.
box_office_distributor_ticker_mapWorker data table — see services/worker schema.
Expected edge
- Paper alpha
- 75-200 bps
- Paper window
- T+1 to T+20d
75-200 bps over 10-20d.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
box office opening driftEvent-drivenOpening-weekend grosses are still the single most-watched data point for the major US-listed studios. A weekend-gross surprise vs the rolling-12-release per-distributor baseline drives a measurable Monday-open drift in the distributor's equity that persists ~10 trading days before being fully absorbed.
box office holdover premiumConsumerPer-release W2/W1 weekend-gross retention ratio is a clean word-of-mouth test. Typical drop-off is ~55-65% (R ≈ 0.40); R > 0.6 signals positive WOM that propagates over the next 2-4 weeks. Distinct from #245 long-tail drift which uses absolute distributor cohort baseline.
box office holiday window alphaEvent-drivenThanksgiving, Christmas, Memorial Day, and July-4 weekends are the four-tentpole release windows where studios bid for the biggest theatrical revenue of the year. A distributor that outperforms its non-holiday baseline during a tentpole window has disproportionately captured the year's marquee revenue and the equity drifts up 10d post-window as trade press digests final tallies.
Explore box office genre x distributor on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.