Executive Pronoun Shift Lineaged Pit
In plain terms
Research-only transcript policy using content-addressed, observation-tiered calls. Bulk history is survivorship-caveated and cannot establish production alpha.
How it works
deception-language research motivates pronoun distancing; the return rule is an adaptation
Data dependencies
- Transcript revision admissible
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.
- Transcript content vintages
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.
- Daily prices
Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
Expected edge
No inherited return claim; evaluate the exact lineaged policy post-cost against identical-episode controls.
Related families
When managers' call language gets harder to read (rising Fog index) Q/Q, they're hiding bad news. Predicts 12-month underperformance.
Filters out analyst speech and just measures how often the CEO/CFO use uncertainty words ('may', 'could'). High uncertainty = bearish.
Read each year's 10-K through a finance-specific positive/negative word filter. Companies whose tone got more positive year-over-year tend to outperform after the filing date; those whose tone got more negative tend to lag.
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