Weather#181tier 2live in productionNew
heat wave power gen
cadence: Dailydata: mediumlong only
paper
2020
Source
Auffhammer, M., Mansur, E. (2014). "Measuring Climatic Impacts on Energy Consumption." Energy Economics, 46, 522-530. Also Mukherjee-Ouyang 2020 AEJ:EP.
Read the paper →
What it checks
Forecast heatwave → long merchant gens + HVAC makers for 1-2 weeks.
Mechanism
ISO peak-load anomaly Jun-Sep drives merchant gens via scarcity pricing + HVAC OEMs via replacement demand.
No production champion data for this family yet. Stats appear once the discovery pipeline promotes at least one strategy with this family tag.
Signal rule
max(ERCOT/PJM/CAISO) anomaly_pct z>=+1 in Jun-Sep → long cohort; hold 3/10d
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
iso_load_forecastsWorker data table — see services/worker schema.
Expected edge
- Paper alpha
- +1% to +3%
- Paper window
- T+0 to T+10d
+1% to +3% over 10d.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
Explore heat wave power gen on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.