Economy & PolicyExtended setResearchNew

Inflation Beta Rotation Alfred Pit

Updated dailyData needs: lowlong onlyshort onlylong short
paper
2020
Source
Boons, M., Duarte, F., de Roon, F., Szymanowska, M. (2020). Time-Varying Inflation Risk and Stock Returns. Journal of Financial Economics 136(2), 444-470.
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In plain terms

Research-only causal macro adaptation using exact ALFRED vintages. It is not a paper replication, production signal, or established alpha effect.

How it works

paper-construct adaptation: Boons-Duarte-de Roon-Szymanowska 2020 JFE estimate time-varying inflation risk premia and sign changes, but do not specify this rolling-beta z-score, acceleration gate, direction, or fixed holds; CPIAUCSL is THE vintage-critical series (2wk lag + annual seasonal revisions) — the PIT panel is the entire point of this repair

No live results for this strategy yet. Charts appear once it has earned a top spot on at least one stock, either on its own or as part of a blend of several strategies.
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Data dependencies

  • Daily prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

  • Fred macro (CPIAUCSL)

    A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.

Expected edge

No inherited alpha claim; evaluate this causal adaptation post-cost against legacy and controls.

Example tickers where this is likely to fire

Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.

Related families

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For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more