Price & Market BehaviorCore researchlive in productionNew

overnight gap fade

Updated dailyData needs: highlong onlyshort onlylong short
paper
2012
Source
Berkman, H., Koch, P. D., Tuttle, L., & Zhang, Y. J. (2012). Paying Attention: Overnight Returns and the Hidden Cost of Buying at the Open. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis; Lou, D., Polk, C., & Skouras, S. (2019). A Tug of War: Overnight Versus Intraday Expected Returns. Journal of Financial Economics.
Citation only, paper link pending.

In plain terms

When a stock opens with a big jump or drop versus the previous close, that move usually gets partly given back, so you bet on the reversal.

How it works

Overnight gaps (open vs prior close) overshoot on retail and news-driven order imbalance at the open and then partially reverse, the classic gap-fade / overnight-reversal effect. A large up-gap fades down and a large down-gap fades up.

No live results for this strategy yet. Charts appear once it has earned a top spot on at least one stock, either on its own or as part of a blend of several strategies.
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Data dependencies

  • Intraday features daily

    A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.

  • Daily prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

Expected edge

Large overnight gaps overshoot and mean-revert, so faded gaps earn the reversal.

Related families

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For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more