Regime Filter: Market Pullback
In plain terms
When SPY is more than 10% off its trailing-year high, this gate forces position to 0 — derived from a cluster of champions whose failures all land in those windows.
How it works
Cluster of promoted production champions that fail when SPY trades more than 10% below its 252d rolling high. Gating long exposure to 0 in those windows captures the failure as avoided loss.
Live results
0 times picked on its own · 587 times inside a blend (242 beat the stock) · updated 2026-06-06Data dependencies
- Daily prices
Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
- Spy prices
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.
- Market regime daily
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.
Expected edge
- Reported return
- TBD post-promote
- Tested over
- 1y holdback
Captures avoided drawdown on the bottom-decile failure days for cluster #2 champions.
Related families
Uses Fed-funds, term spread, and credit spread (FRED data) to flag risk-off vs risk-on regimes and scale exposure accordingly.
Only go long if the broad market (SPY) is above its 200-day average AND VIX is calm. Otherwise stand aside — don't fight a falling tape.
Explore Regime Filter: Market Pullback on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.