nasa black marble nightlights
What it checks
NASA satellite shows nightlights brighten in a regional bank's MSA → loan growth follows.
Mechanism
NASA Black Marble nightlight MoM delta in ticker HQ-MSA proxies regional growth → leads regional bank deposit/loan growth 1-2 months.
Signal rule
HQ-MSA nightlight MoM Δ > +2σ → long KRE constituents; < -2σ → short; hold 30/60d
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
nasa_black_marble_msaWorker data table — see services/worker schema.
firm_hq_locationsWorker data table — see services/worker schema.
Expected edge
- Paper alpha
- 50-100 bps
- Paper window
- T+0 to T+60d
50-100 bps over 30-60d.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
eurodollar bank predictorMacroFunding-spread stress (SOFR-IORB; fallback TEDRATE/BAA10Y) predicts negative 1-3mo bank returns.
macro regimeMacroBeyond regime_overlay (#10) which uses VIX + SPY trend, this family keys off the macro regime detected from FRED data: term-spread inversion (10Y−2Y < 0), credit-spread widening or compression (BAA−10Y z), and Fed funds cycle direction. Single-name version: gate the simple long-trend signal (SMA50 > SMA200) on the FRED macro regime — full long only in risk-on, half-size in neutral, flat in risk-off, short in inversion.
Explore nasa black marble nightlights on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.