Real-World & Alternative DataExtended setlive in productionNew
Nifc Wildfire Utility Short
Updated dailyData needs: mediumshort only
paper
2026
Source
Novel research — in-house discovery (alphactor 2026-05-20). Camp Fire (2018 PCG) and SDG&E (2007-08 SRE) inverse-condemnation precedents motivate the per-utility cohort.
Citation only, paper link pending.
In plain terms
Big CA wildfire in PG&E / Edison / Sempra territory → that utility's stock drops for 2-4 weeks.
How it works
Active CA wildfire (>=25k acres, uncontained) inside PCG/EIX/SRE service territory → SHORT named IOU on PSPS + inverse-condemnation liability + credit-spread channel.
No live results for this strategy yet. Charts appear once it has earned a top spot on at least one stock, either on its own or as part of a blend of several strategies.
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Data dependencies
- Daily prices
Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
- Nifc fires
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.
Expected edge
- Reported return
- -2% to -5%
- Tested over
- T+0 to T+20d
-2% to -5% over 20d.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
Explore Nifc Wildfire Utility Short on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.