Company Events & EarningsExtended setInvalidNew

Pead Text Confirmation

Updated dailyData needs: mediumlong shortlong onlyshort only

1989

#85 pead_text_confirmation — PEAD (Bernard-Thomas 1989) × transcript FinBERT sentiment confirmation.

In plain terms

Standard PEAD trades on earnings surprise sign. This version only trades when the management's call tone agrees with the surprise — skips ambiguous prints.

How it works

Vanilla PEAD trades on SUE sign. This family gates by transcript-FinBERT sentiment direction: take position ONLY when sentiment agrees with SUE sign. Beat + bullish call → long; miss + bearish call → short; disagreement (beat-but-cautious, miss-but-optimistic) → skip. Filters out the messy 1/3 of earnings where management contradicts the headline.

Live results

0 times picked on its own · 3 times inside a blend (3 beat the stock) · updated 2026-07-06

This strategy is a frequent ingredient in blends that combine a few strategies on one stock. It has contributed to 3 such blended picks (3 of which beat simply holding the stock). Picking it on its own is only one of the ways it shows up.

How its picks scored vs. buy & hold

Each pick is graded on a recent year it was never tuned on, against simply owning the same stock

Where its edge concentrates

Share of picks in each company-size group that beat buy & hold

How often it trades

Active vs. patient. Bars on the left mean it waits for rare setups; bars on the right mean it trades often

Return vs. buy & hold

How much each pick beat or trailed simply owning the stock over the test year (extreme microcap moves trimmed)

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Data dependencies

Earnings history
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.
Transcript finbert scores
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.

Expected edge

Reported return: ~50-100 bps incremental over vanilla PEAD

~50-100bps incremental over vanilla PEAD by Sharpe; significant drawdown reduction.

Related families

Post-Earnings DriftCompany Events & Earnings

After an earnings beat (vs analyst expectations), the price drifts up over the next 30-60 days — markets are slow to fully digest the surprise.

Strategic Friday PeadCompany Events & Earnings

Managers schedule bad-news earnings for Friday after-close to dodge attention. The 3-day return around those announcements is significantly negative.

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