Trade / Logistics#451tier 3experimental liveNew

port ship count throughput

cadence: 5-day (Sentinel-2 revisit)data: highlong only
paper
2018
Source
Donaldson-Hornbeck 2016 (trade infrastructure) + Brooks-Sandeep 2018 (satellite-derived shipping as leading indicator). Sentinel-2 ESA free-tier specialization.
Citation only, paper link pending.

What it checks

We count ships at major container ports from free satellite imagery; spikes signal a global trade-throughput pulse that propagates to shipping and consumer names.

Mechanism

Sentinel-2 imagery at 10m over 8 major container ports (LA/LB, Rotterdam, Antwerp, Hamburg, Felixstowe, Le Havre, Algeciras, Valencia) detects ships via a brightness-threshold heuristic over NDWI water masks. Daily global ship count z-scored over 252d; spikes broadcast as a global trade-throughput signal. Substrate gates surface logistics/shipping/consumer-discretionary names that actually react. Complementary to baltic_dry_ais_proxy (AIS catches broadcasting ships; Sentinel-2 catches dark ships).

No production champion data for this family yet. Stats appear once the discovery pipeline promotes at least one strategy with this family tag, or once a multi-family blend that includes it earns a champion slot.
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Signal rule

Sentinel-2 daily global ship-count z>=1.0/1.5 over 252d, holds 10/20/60d, broadcast.

Data dependencies

  • daily_prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

  • sentinel2_port_panels

    Worker data table, see services/worker schema.

Expected edge

Paper alpha
1-3%/yr
Paper window
2015-present (Sentinel-2 launch)

1-3%/yr on logistics + consumer-discretionary cross-section.

Example tickers where this is likely to fire

Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.

Related families

Explore port ship count throughput on alphactor.ai

See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more