Event#164tier 1live in productionNew
proxy contest drift
cadence: Dailydata: mediumlong only
paper
1998
Source
Mulherin, J. H., Poulsen, A. B. (1998). "Proxy Contests and Corporate Change." Journal of Financial Economics, 47(3), 279-313.
Read the paper →
What it checks
Proxy fight → +6-8% over a year.
Mechanism
Proxy contests (DFAN14A) earn ~6-8% CAR over [-20, +250].
No production champion data for this family yet. Stats appear once the discovery pipeline promotes at least one strategy with this family tag.
Signal rule
long between days 90-720 post-contest; hold 90/180/365d
Data dependencies
sec_proxy_contestsWorker data table — see services/worker schema.
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
Expected edge
- Paper alpha
- ~+6-8%
- Paper window
- T+90d to T+720d
Mulherin-Poulsen 1998: ~6-8% over 250d.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
13d activist filing driftEventSC 13D filings (>5% stake with activist intent) earn ~7% event CAR + ~5% drift 12-24m.
item 502 executive departureEvent8-K Item 5.02 (Departure/Appointment of Officers). Fee et al find ~-3% abnormal return on the 8-K filing window, holding through 60d. Forced departures stronger (-5% to -15%).
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