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Short Pressure Overhang Short

Updated dailyData needs: mediumshort onlylong short

2016

Drechsler-Drechsler 2016 RFS -- Shorting at Close Range: A Tale of Two Types.

In plain terms

Quarantined research-only bearish setup: the signal inputs are causal, but its short path is not financially valid without required session-level borrow and locate evidence.

How it works

Persistent short overhang (high short volume as a fraction of total volume, sustained over 4+ weeks) without a squeeze signals ongoing informed bearish positioning. The short overhang depresses price gradually as shorts steadily sell into any strength.

Live results

0 times picked on its own · 54 times inside a blend (43 beat the stock) · updated 2026-07-06

This strategy is a frequent ingredient in blends that combine a few strategies on one stock. It has contributed to 54 such blended picks (43 of which beat simply holding the stock). Picking it on its own is only one of the ways it shows up.

How its picks scored vs. buy & hold

Each pick is graded on a recent year it was never tuned on, against simply owning the same stock

Where its edge concentrates

Share of picks in each company-size group that beat buy & hold

How often it trades

Active vs. patient. Bars on the left mean it waits for rare setups; bars on the right mean it trades often

Return vs. buy & hold

How much each pick beat or trailed simply owning the stock over the test year (extreme microcap moves trimmed)

Loading substrate evidence…

Data dependencies

Daily prices
Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
Finra short volume
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.
Borrow rates
Daily borrow-fee curve from prime-broker feeds.

Expected edge

Tested over: 2005-2011 (Drechsler-Drechsler)

No valid paper or production-alpha claim. Historical short results are blocked by missing required session-level borrow/locate accounting.

Related families

Short Pressure Squeeze LongFilings, Insiders & Ownership

Stocks with high short interest and rapidly rising borrow costs are primed for short squeezes -- a tactical long opportunity.

Short Pressure CompositeFilings, Insiders & Ownership

Quarantined research-only blend: its causal components may still produce short exposure when no session-level borrow or locate state is available.

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