Weather#182tier 2live in productionNew
snowfall retail short
cadence: Dailydata: mediumshort only
paper
2000
Source
Starr-McCluer, M. (2000). "The Effects of Weather on Retail Sales." Federal Reserve FEDS 2000-08. Also Murray et al 2010 JRCS.
Read the paper →
What it checks
Heavy snowstorm in NYC/Boston/Chicago → short Macy's/Nordstrom/Gap/TJX for 1-2 weeks.
Mechanism
6+ snowfall in top retail metros suppresses foot traffic 1-2 weeks; apparel/dept-store retailers miss the following week's SSS prints.
No production champion data for this family yet. Stats appear once the discovery pipeline promotes at least one strategy with this family tag.
Signal rule
retail-metro GHCNd SNOW>=152mm/day OR rolling-3d>=254mm → short next session; hold 5/10d
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
noaa_ghcnd_dailyWorker data table — see services/worker schema.
Expected edge
- Paper alpha
- -1% to -2%
- Paper window
- T+0 to T+10d
-1% to -2% over 10d.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
Explore snowfall retail short on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.