Company Events & EarningsExtended setexperimental liveNew

Surprise Acceleration Rs

Updated dailyData needs: mediumlong onlylong short
paper
1991
Source
Stickel 1991 JAR -- Common Stock Returns Surrounding Earnings Forecast Revisions.
Read the paper β†’

In plain terms

Stocks where earnings surprises are accelerating quarter-over-quarter while price is trending up show compounding drift.

How it works

Earnings surprise acceleration (this quarter's surprise larger than the prior quarter's) combined with relative price strength produces a compounding signal. The market underreacts to improving fundamental momentum when it is also visible in price.

No live results for this strategy yet. Charts appear once it has earned a top spot on at least one stock, either on its own or as part of a blend of several strategies.
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Data dependencies

  • Daily prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

  • Earnings history

    A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.

Expected edge

Tested over
1981-1987 (Stickel)

Accelerating surprise + price RS screens out single-event noise; estimated 4-6% incremental return.

Related families

Explore Surprise Acceleration Rs on alphactor.ai

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For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more