Options / Volatility#464tier 3experimental liveNew

vrp turnover corrected

cadence: Dailydata: mediumlong onlyshort onlylong short
paper
2025
Source
Eksi, A. & Roy, S. (2025). Stock Return Predictability of Realized-Implied Volatility Spread and Abnormal Turnover. SSRN / EFMA 2024 Lisbon.
Read the paper β†’

What it checks

Eksi-Roy (2025): the single-name VRP (realized minus implied vol spread) is contaminated by turnover-driven transient realized-vol shocks; applying a mean-reversion correction to realized vol and/or excluding abnormal-turnover names raises Backtest uses pre-2023 options history while the live options feed is being rebuilt.

Mechanism

Eksi-Roy (2025): the single-name VRP (realized minus implied vol spread) is contaminated by turnover-driven transient realized-vol shocks; applying a mean-reversion correction to realized vol and/or excluding abnormal-turnover names raises VRP-strategy returns by ~42%. Refinement on single_name_variance_risk_premium: compute RVol-IVol, then down-weight or filter names whose 21d turnover (dollar-vo

No production champion data for this family yet. Stats appear once the discovery pipeline promotes at least one strategy with this family tag, or once a multi-family blend that includes it earns a champion slot.
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Signal rule

Eksi-Roy (2025): the single-name VRP (realized minus implied vol spread) is contaminated by turnover-driven transient realized-vol shocks; applying a mean-reversion correction to realized vol and/or excluding abnormal-tu

Data dependencies

  • options_chain_daily

    End-of-day OPRA option chains used by IV-skew family.

  • daily_prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

Expected edge

Paper window
Modern daily equity data

risk-premium premium; decay risk 3/5.

Example tickers where this is likely to fire

Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.

Related families

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