Price & Market BehaviorExtended setexperimental liveNew

Vrp Turnover Corrected

Updated dailyData needs: mediumlong onlyshort onlylong short
paper
2025
Source
Eksi, A. & Roy, S. (2025). Stock Return Predictability of Realized-Implied Volatility Spread and Abnormal Turnover. SSRN / EFMA 2024 Lisbon.
Read the paper →

In plain terms

Eksi-Roy (2025): the single-name VRP (realized minus implied vol spread) is contaminated by turnover-driven transient realized-vol shocks; applying a mean-reversion correction to realized vol and/or excluding abnormal-turnover names raises Backtest uses pre-2023 options history while the live options feed is being rebuilt.

How it works

Eksi-Roy (2025): the single-name VRP (realized minus implied vol spread) is contaminated by turnover-driven transient realized-vol shocks; applying a mean-reversion correction to realized vol and/or excluding abnormal-turnover names raises VRP-strategy returns by ~42%. Refinement on single_name_variance_risk_premium: compute RVol-IVol, then down-weight or filter names whose 21d turnover (dollar-vo

No live results for this strategy yet. Charts appear once it has earned a top spot on at least one stock, either on its own or as part of a blend of several strategies.
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Data dependencies

  • Options chain daily

    End-of-day OPRA option chains used by IV-skew family.

  • Daily prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

Expected edge

Tested over
Modern daily equity data

risk-premium premium; decay risk 3/5.

Example tickers where this is likely to fire

Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.

Related families

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For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more