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Yen Carry Trade Unwind

Updated dailyData needs: mediumshort only
paper
2008
Source
Brunnermeier, M. K., Nagel, S., Pedersen, L. H. (2008). "Carry Trades and Currency Crashes." NBER Macroeconomics Annual, 23, 313-347.
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In plain terms

Yen jumps + VIX>25 → leveraged carry unwinds → short EM/small-cap 5-10d.

How it works

JPY funds carry into AUD/NZD/EM. JPY appreciation + VIX>25 → carry unwind → small-cap/EM sell-off.

No live results for this strategy yet. Charts appear once it has earned a top spot on at least one stock, either on its own or as part of a blend of several strategies.
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Data dependencies

  • Fred macro

    A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.

  • Daily prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

Expected edge

Reported return
-3% to -8% over 5-10d
Tested over
1986-2006

Brunnermeier-Nagel-Pedersen 2008: -3% to -8% over 5-10d.

Example tickers where this is likely to fire

Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.

Related families

Explore Yen Carry Trade Unwind on alphactor.ai

See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more