Fundamentals · MS
DuPont (ROE Decomposition) for MS
AI-generated plain-English read of dupont (roe decomposition) for MS. Updated daily.
Leverage-driven ROE, improving
highROE is rising (4.8%) but the engine is leverage: a 14.26× equity multiplier means a small drop in profitability gets amplified straight into the bottom line. Genuine improvement would show up in margins or asset efficiency first.
What will probably happen
- ROE is on an upward path: if the leading leg continues, the next reported period should sustain or extend the gain.
- Critical leverage flag: a 14.26× equity multiplier means any margin contraction of even a few percentage points will wipe out ROE disproportionately. Watch for earnings revisions or debt-service pressure.
What to do
- If you HOLD this stock
- The 14.26× leverage is a structural risk for holders. Any macro headwind (rate rise, demand drop) that compresses margins gets amplified into ROE. Ensure your thesis accounts for this: the company has less margin of safety than its headline ROE suggests.
- If you are EVALUATING this stock
- Don't let the headline ROE (4.8%) mislead you: it's primarily a function of 14.26× leverage. A cleaner way to compare this company is on ROIC or on ROA, which strip out the capital structure effect.
- If you trade OPTIONS
- No sharp DuPont signal either way. Premium is fairly priced for a fundamentals-stable story. Wait for a clearer inflection in one of the legs before positioning directionally.
26 periods with all three DuPont legs populated: trend reads are reliable.
Technical details
Technical analysis
- Profitability (net margin)
- 28.1%, stable, healthy
- Asset efficiency (turnover)
- 0.01×, stable, healthy
- Leverage (equity multiplier)
- 14.26×, improving, worrying [CRITICAL]
- ROE
- 4.8%, improving
- Primary ROE driver
- Leverage Driven
- Periods analysed
- 26
- Sector context
- not provided
Key levels
| Level | Value |
|---|---|
| latest roe | 0.048 |
| latest margin | 0.281 |
| latest turnover | 0.012 |
| latest em | 14.263 |
| em critical threshold | 5 |
| em high threshold | 4 |
Caveats
- Equity multiplier of 14.3× is critically high. A small profitability decline gets amplified proportionally into ROE; this company is running with very thin margin of safety.