activist purpose aggressive long
What it checks
When an activist files a 13D with aggressive language (proxy contest, demand strategic alternatives, push for board seats), the post-filing drift is stronger than for passive 13D filings. Mining the purpose text isolates the value-creating subset.
Mechanism
13D filers explicitly signaling aggressive intent (proxy contest, strategic alternatives, board representation, letter to the board, tender offer) earn ~3-5% incremental drift over the plain 13D event window. The aggressive subset is empirically the value-creating leg; passive investment-purposes 13Ds are indistinguishable from 13G in drift.
Signal rule
13D filing where purpose text contains aggressive-intent keywords fires LONG T+1, hold 60/120/365d.
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
sec_13d_filingsWorker data table, see services/worker schema.
Expected edge
- Paper alpha
- +5-8% over 6-12mo
- Paper window
- T+1 to T+365d
Bebchuk-Brav-Jiang 2015; +5-8% incremental over plain 13D drift over 6-12mo.
Related families
hedge fund activist target driftInsider & FlowNarrower than the existing activist_13d_drift family (#163): filters investor_filings to hedge-fund-style activists (Elliott, Pershing Square, Starboard, etc.) and only emits a signal when the filing is genuinely new for that investor on this ticker (no prior filing in 365 days). BJPT 2008 document the ~7% drift over 60-90 days post-disclosure.
proxy contest driftEvent-DrivenProxy contests (DFAN14A) earn ~6-8% CAR over [-20, +250].
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