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borrow-cost spike squeeze fuel

Updated dailyData needs: mediumlong only
paper
2018
Source
Engelberg, Reed & Ringgenberg 2018; Drechsler & Drechsler 2014
Citation only, paper link pending.

In plain terms

When the fee to borrow a stock for short selling suddenly jumps, it can signal a coming short squeeze, so the strategy buys the stock for a few days.

How it works

A spike in the stock-loan borrow rate (and a hard-to-borrow flag) marks short demand overwhelming lendable supply, the precondition for a short squeeze. High borrow cost also caps further shorting, so the downside is mechanically pinned, and the family treats a borrow-rate spike as squeeze fuel.

Live results

3 times picked on its own · 8 times inside a blend (5 beat the stock) · updated 2026-07-06
This strategy is a frequent ingredient in blends that combine a few strategies on one stock. It has contributed to 8 such blended picks (5 of which beat simply holding the stock). Picking it on its own is only one of the ways it shows up.
How its picks scored vs. buy & hold
Each pick is graded on a recent year it was never tuned on, against simply owning the same stock
Where its edge concentrates
Share of picks in each company-size group that beat buy & hold
How often it trades
Active vs. patient. Bars on the left mean it waits for rare setups; bars on the right mean it trades often
Return vs. buy & hold
How much each pick beat or trailed simply owning the stock over the test year (extreme microcap moves trimmed)
Loading substrate evidence…

Data dependencies

  • Stock borrow rates

    Daily borrow-fee curve from prime-broker feeds.

  • Daily prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

Expected edge

Borrow-fee shocks predict a near-term reversal/squeeze higher because elevated borrow cost both signals crowded shorts and mechanically caps additional short pressure.

Related families

Explore borrow-cost spike squeeze fuel on alphactor.ai

See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more