corp jet cluster ma leak
What it checks
If multiple companies' corporate jets land at the same airport within 48 hours and yours is one of them, an M&A is likely brewing. We buy the target's stock and hold for two to four weeks.
Mechanism
When >=2 distinct corporate jets (candidate acquirer + target) land at the same metropolitan/regional airport within a rolling 48h window, the pattern statistically precedes an M&A announcement leak. The single-jet "unusual destination" effect from Bao-Edmans 2023 (#201) is complemented here by a multi-party clustering rule on the same source data.
Signal rule
Per target ticker T, count distinct jet-owning tickers landing at the same airport within 48h. Fire LONG on T (T+1) when distinct_tickers >= 2 AND T is present. Hold 10/20 trading days.
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
corporate_jet_flightsWorker data table — see services/worker schema.
Expected edge
- Paper alpha
- 1-3% / event (target untested)
- Paper window
- T+0 to T+30d
Akey-Heimer 2020 documents 1-3% abnormal acquirer returns over 30d on multi-jet co-presence; target-side capture untested.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
corporate jet destinationsAlt-DataFAA-registered corporate jet visits unusual airport (not in baseline 5y top-3) → M&A rumor signal.
m and a arbEventWhen a ticker files an 8-K with Item 1.01 (Entry into Material Definitive Agreement) or Item 2.01 (Completion of Acquisition or Disposition), the stock often experiences directional drift over 1-3 months as the deal plays out or the market re-rates the combined entity. We treat this as a coarse-grained M&A play (distinct from arbitrage on announced deals which needs target prices): long any ticker that filed a relevant 8-K Item for 21-63 days post-filing.
Explore corp jet cluster ma leak on alphactor.ai
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