Item 1 02 Termination Material Agreement Short
In plain terms
When a company terminates a material contract (Item 1.02), it signals lost revenue or a broken strategic relationship. Short for 1-3 months.
How it works
8-K Item 1.02 (Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement) flags the loss of a material supply, distribution, license, or partnership contract. McConnell-Servaes 1990 and the broader event-study literature show negative drift on growth-option destruction.
Live results
0 times picked on its own · 9 times inside a blend (9 beat the stock) · updated 2026-06-06Data dependencies
- Daily prices
Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
- SEC 8k events
Item-coded 8-K events (1.01 material agreements, 4.02 non-reliance, etc.).
Expected edge
- Reported return
- -3 to -5% over 30-90d
- Tested over
- T+1 to T+90d
McConnell-Servaes 1990; -3 to -5% over 30-90d on contract termination.
Related families
Companies that issue new debt (Item 2.03) tend to underperform for 6-12 months. Managers often issue debt when their equity is overvalued or balance-sheet pressure is rising.
When a company files an 8-K disclosing a private equity placement (often at a discount), it signals balance-sheet pressure and dilution. Short for 2-6 months.
When a company files an 8-K announcing a major restructuring or plant closure, the bad news isn't fully priced on day one — short for two months while the operating weakness leaks out.
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