Noaa Landfall Insurance Short
In plain terms
Hurricane approaches FL/TX/LA coast → property insurer stocks (ALL/TRV/AIG/PGR) drop for 1-3 weeks.
How it works
HURDAT2 hurricane-strength fix inside FL/TX/LA coastal cone (lat/lon bounding box) within trailing 5d → SHORT property insurer basket.
Data dependencies
- Daily prices
Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
- Noaa hurdat2
A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.
Expected edge
- Reported return
- -2% to -4%
- Tested over
- T+0 to T+15d
-2% to -4% over 10-15d.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
Active hurricane → coastal stocks drop, reinsurers rally.
NOAA's May forecast says >60% chance of above-normal hurricane season → buy reinsurer stocks through November.
Storm enters Gulf of Mexico → refiner and chemical stocks (VLO/MPC/PSX/LYB/DOW) drop 1-3% for a week.
Explore Noaa Landfall Insurance Short on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.