noaa landfall insurance short
What it checks
Hurricane approaches FL/TX/LA coast → property insurer stocks (ALL/TRV/AIG/PGR) drop for 1-3 weeks.
Mechanism
HURDAT2 hurricane-strength fix inside FL/TX/LA coastal cone (lat/lon bounding box) within trailing 5d → SHORT property insurer basket.
Signal rule
wind_kt>=64 + in FL/TX/LA cone, last 5d → short ALL/TRV/AIG/PGR; hold 5/10/15d
Data dependencies
daily_pricesAdjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.
noaa_hurdat2Worker data table — see services/worker schema.
Expected edge
- Paper alpha
- -2% to -4%
- Paper window
- T+0 to T+15d
-2% to -4% over 10-15d.
Example tickers where this is likely to fire
Illustrative only — the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.
Related families
hurricane landfall coastal shortWeatherPre-landfall window T-3 to T+5 shorts coastal-HQ REITs/refiners/ports; longs P&C reinsurers (RNR/RGA/AXS/ACGL).
hurricane preseason reinsurerWeatherNOAA CPC May outlook with above-normal prob >60% gates a reinsurer-rate-hardening regime; long P&C reinsurer basket through Nov 30.
noaa storm refiner disruptionWeatherTropical-storm-or-stronger HURDAT2 fix inside Gulf-of-Mexico bounding box → SHORT U.S. refiners + chemicals (supply-disruption + platform-shutdown channel).
Explore noaa landfall insurance short on alphactor.ai
See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.