Political / Speech#446tier 3experimental liveNew

trump company mention

cadence: Event-triggereddata: mediumlong onlyshort only
paper
2019
Source
Born-Myers-Clark 2017 (tweet-event studies on named firms) + Ge-Kurov-Wolfe 2019 (presidential tweets on individual stocks).
Citation only, paper link pending.

What it checks

When Trump names a company, we trade in the direction his tone suggests for 1-5 days.

Mechanism

When Trump names a specific ticker (cashtag or company name), the post is a directional event. FinBERT sentiment on the post text drives a long (positive) or short (negative) 1-3-5d hold. Attribution is unambiguous; the substrate-gate Bonferroni penalty for this family is much lighter than the broadcast variants.

No production champion data for this family yet. Stats appear once the discovery pipeline promotes at least one strategy with this family tag, or once a multi-family blend that includes it earns a champion slot.
Loading substrate evidence…

Signal rule

Trump post containing ticker T with FinBERT sentiment >= +0.2/+0.5 fires long 1/3/5d; sentiment <= -0.2/-0.5 fires short 1/3/5d. Targeted, not broadcast.

Data dependencies

  • daily_prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

  • political_posts

    Worker data table, see services/worker schema.

  • political_posts_nlp

    Worker data table, see services/worker schema.

Expected edge

Paper window
2017-present (TT+TS stitch)

Mid-cap and large-cap names with high name recognition (TWTR/F/GM/BA/AAPL classic targets).

Example tickers where this is likely to fire

Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.

Related families

Explore trump company mention on alphactor.ai

See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more