Economy & PolicyExtended setexperimental liveNew

Trump Company Mention

Updated event-triggeredData needs: mediumlong onlyshort only
paper
2019
Source
Born-Myers-Clark 2017 (tweet-event studies on named firms) + Ge-Kurov-Wolfe 2019 (presidential tweets on individual stocks).
Citation only, paper link pending.

In plain terms

When Trump names a company, we trade in the direction his tone suggests for 1-5 days.

How it works

When Trump names a specific ticker (cashtag or company name), the post is a directional event. FinBERT sentiment on the post text drives a long (positive) or short (negative) 1-3-5d hold. Attribution is unambiguous; the substrate-gate Bonferroni penalty for this family is much lighter than the broadcast variants.

No live results for this strategy yet. Charts appear once it has earned a top spot on at least one stock, either on its own or as part of a blend of several strategies.
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Data dependencies

  • Daily prices

    Adjusted-close OHLCV for every US-listed ticker; primary price feed.

  • Political posts

    A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.

  • Political posts nlp

    A data feed this strategy reads, refreshed on its normal schedule.

Expected edge

Tested over
2017-present (TT+TS stitch)

Mid-cap and large-cap names with high name recognition (TWTR/F/GM/BA/AAPL classic targets).

Example tickers where this is likely to fire

Illustrative only, the signal fires based on the live data, not a fixed list.

Related families

Explore Trump Company Mention on alphactor.ai

See which tickers this family is currently firing on, with live signals and rankings.

For informational and educational purposes only. Not financial advice. Learn more