The Prediction Heatmap: Daily Probability Shifts Across Your Universe

One Screen, Every Ticker

The dashboard's job is to answer one question in 30 seconds: *what changed overnight?* A list of names doesn't do that — your eye has to parse each ticker, pull context, decide. A heatmap does it visually: hot colors for probability-up moves, cool colors for probability-down, saturated colors for high-confidence forecasts, washed-out for low-confidence. You look once and know which corners of your universe need attention. The list view can come second.

What the Prediction Heatmap Shows

The Prediction Heatmap card renders a grid of your watchlist + portfolio tickers, colored by the model's next-5-day directional probability delta vs the prior day. Hue encodes direction (red = bearish shift, green = bullish); saturation encodes confidence. Clicking a cell opens the per-ticker view. A tab row at the top of the card lets you swap views: probability (default), regime change (binary — did the regime flag flip?), news impact (did new stories meaningfully change the probability?), and flat (no heat, just names).

Reading the Colors

Two useful mental models. First, look for blocks of color — when an entire sector glows the same direction overnight, the move is macro/sector-driven, not name-specific; your book's exposure to that sector matters more than any single cell. Second, saturated cells next to washed-out cells in the same sector mean the model sees differential conviction — a real reason to examine the saturated ones first. Don't over-interpret any single cell: the heatmap is a *triage* tool that points you at the next view, not a signal on its own.

Where It Fits

The heatmap lives on the dashboard root alongside Cockpit Overview, Market Signals, Movers, and Recent Alerts. Use the heatmap to pick which cell to drill into; then go to that ticker's chart, sentiment, and fundamentals pages for the source material.

Open the Prediction Heatmap → /app